The Suns did exactly what I talked about yesterday, the increased the tempo of the game. As a result, the Mavs simply could not keep up. In the 4th quarter, the Mavs had no choice but to increase their play, which played right into the Suns’ hands. As a result, the lead widened. The Mavs were really never in this game. They managed to close some to end the first half, but the writing was on the wall. To win they must slow down the pace and make the Suns play their game.

The Suns ties the series at 2-2 with an impressive 106-86 victory. Tomorrow, the series heads back to Dallas where the Mavs look to keep their home court advantage. The early NBA betting line has Dallas as a 7 point favorite. There is a good chance that this number will come down, so if you like Phoenix, go bet it now. The over/under has bet set a little bit lower at 206.5. Aside from the first game, the rest have struggled to get to the 200 mark. There’s no doubt that Dallas realized they need to slow the pace and get more physical. The under might be the play to make here.

The seven points for Dallas might be pushing it and there’s no evidence in the series to suggest that the line should be this high. Dallas has won by exactly seven points both times. There’s really no wiggle room for Dallas bettors. If you are a Dallas bettor, wait it out. There’s a good chance that the line will move some by game time. I am expecting to see it drop a couple of points somewhere.